Hamas has reportedly agreed to disarm as part of a new ceasefire plan, according to an announcement by former President Trump. This plan calls for Hamas to surrender its heavy weapons and decommission its extensive tunnel network, a process expected to take between 200 and 350 days. The agreement also envisions the withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza, the establishment of a new technocratic Palestinian government, the deployment of an international security force, and the subsequent rebuilding of the Palestinian enclave.
However, significant obstacles and skepticism surround the proposed deal. A senior Israeli official has reiterated that there will be no withdrawal of Israeli Defence Forces from the "Yellow Line" in Gaza without the "genuine disarmament of Hamas." This position highlights a key point of contention, as Hamas has reportedly made the laying down of its heavy weapons contingent on the creation of a Palestinian state, a condition that the current Israeli government adamantly rejects.
The phased approach outlined in Trump's plan suggests that Israeli forces would withdraw as disarmament is completed, with an International Stabilization Force working alongside a new Palestinian police force to ensure security. Despite these details, Middle East experts, such as Neil Quilliam of Chatham House, have expressed low expectations that Hamas will fully disarm or that Israel will withdraw. Israeli far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir has already denounced the potential deal as "unacceptable," indicating strong domestic opposition within Israel that could pose political challenges for Prime Minister Netanyahu.
