US Central Command reported that on Tuesday evening, Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps forces launched multiple ballistic missiles from Iran in an attempted surprise attack on US forces stationed in the Middle East. All Iranian missiles were successfully intercepted, and US forces remain at a high state of readiness. This incident follows a days-long pause in fighting, and the US interception marks a significant escalation, increasing the risk of a return to full-blown war in the Middle East.

The attack had immediate financial ramifications. Crude oil prices jumped, and US stock-index futures dipped in response to the news. This event punctuates a recent period of relative calm following weeks of sustained bombardments, where Iran had previously responded to US strikes with missile and drone attacks on countries hosting US troops, resulting in casualties.

Previously, mediators had reported progress in efforts to halt the conflict, with both the US and Iran pausing attacks for three days. While there were no direct talks, Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson indicated that mediators might be conveying messages from the American side. Concerns about global energy supplies and the economy remain pressing, with gasoline prices having already risen.