President Donald Trump announced on Tuesday that he is considering restricting diesel exports as a measure to curb soaring fuel prices in the United States. This idea is gaining traction among some Republicans ahead of the midterm elections, with Trump stating, "I've called for that, too. I said, 'Let's not send out the diesel.' We make a lot of diesel." This statement came during a meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly in New York.
This potential ban follows a period where average US diesel prices have jumped to a record $6.5107 per gallon, according to AAA. Diesel is crucial for the global economy, powering transportation, agriculture, and various industries. Some Republican lawmakers, including Senator Chuck Grassley and Representative Tim Burchett, have publicly advocated for an export embargo or ban on diesel, with Louisiana Governor Jeff Landry also calling for a 90-day ban. The US exports approximately 1.3 million barrels of diesel per day, nearly a quarter of its refining output.
However, analysts and market watchers have warned that such a ban could have adverse effects. Reuters reported that a ban could lead to global diesel price increases of up to 100%, and force lower refinery runs, ultimately harming rather than helping fuel markets. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed that officials are examining the feasibility of a full or partial ban, considering its impact on overall refining capacity. Experts also caution that while a ban might offer short-term relief for American consumers, it could disrupt supply chains, strain US refining capacity, and negatively affect international allies, particularly in Europe, who rely on US diesel exports to offset deficits from sanctions on Russian energy.