As of the second half of 2026, State Street's latest quarterly investment outlook indicates that the investment environment is characterized by a wide array of possible outcomes for economic growth, inflation, and policy decisions. This increased uncertainty is attributed to ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatile energy prices, persistent supply-chain risks, and growing fiscal strains.

In response to this complex backdrop, State Street advises that investment portfolios should prioritize resilience. This involves a strategic focus on quality assets, broad diversification across various investments, and careful selectivity in choosing opportunities. The firm suggests that these principles are crucial for navigating the current market conditions effectively.

The outlook also notes that market volatility has opened up a broader range of opportunities across different regions and asset classes, reinforcing the importance of disciplined investment strategies. State Street continues to identify opportunities in equities, citing supportive valuations and strong earnings resilience. Similarly, they see potential in fixed income, where higher starting yields have re-established income as a significant contributor to overall returns.

State Street's new quarterly investment outlook aims to consolidate macro, asset class, and market views into a refreshed format, building upon their previous market forecasts. The report also highlights that investing in commodities carries substantial risks and may not be suitable for all investors, as commodity prices can be extremely volatile due to factors like overall market movements, real or perceived inflationary trends, and commodity index fluctuations.