The Federal Reserve increased interest rates for the first time since 2023, with officials signaling more rate hikes to come, which led to mixed reactions across financial markets. The benchmark policy rate was raised by a quarter point, reaching a range of 3.75% to 4%. This decision was unanimous, with new Fed chief Kevin Warsh supporting the move, despite earlier expectations that he might cut rates. This action is seen as an attempt to control inflation and acknowledges the Trump administration's struggles with it.

Following the announcement, US Treasuries largely maintained their earlier gains, with the 10-year yield remaining lower by five basis points at 4.95%. However, global stocks saw a downturn, reversing earlier gains. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose by 0.3%, marking its best three-day rally since June, as the dollar strengthened on the hawkish signals from the Fed.

New policy projections indicate that 16 out of 18 policymakers anticipate at least one additional quarter-percentage-point hike by the end of this year. Only two officials foresee rates remaining stable. The Federal Open Market Committee's dot plot reinforces the expectation of another rate increase in 2026, signaling a commitment to tighter monetary policy.