President Donald Trump, at the Republican midterm convention in Dallas, defended his decision to launch a war against Iran alongside Israel on February 28. This conflict has led to significant political fallout, including Brent Crude prices rising above $100 a barrel for the first time since July, impacting affordability in the U.S. Despite these economic pressures and general public disapproval, particularly among independents, Trump maintained his stance.

While Trump addressed the conflict, many other Republicans at the convention either voiced concerns or confusion regarding the war's justification and its impact. Some supporters expressed willingness to accept higher gas prices if the war's necessity were clearer, but many voters rank affordability as their primary concern. A Reuters/Ipsos poll indicated that only 25% of Americans view the war as worthwhile.

Trump suggested the war would not end before the November midterms, accusing Iran of intentionally prolonging the conflict to influence the election and ensure a "weak group of people" come into power. He predicted the war would conclude "immediately after the election," and also that gas prices would fall below $2 per gallon then. Meanwhile, his administration has focused on maintaining open shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz.

The ongoing conflict has put increasing pressure on Trump from within his own party to find an exit strategy, with concerns that the war is a significant drag on Republican prospects in the upcoming midterms. The war has contributed to inflation, with a 3.4% rate last month, and gas prices exceeding $4 a gallon. Some Republican lawmakers, like Senator Thom Tillis, have even suggested that it might be time for Republicans to distance themselves from the White House on the war issue.